when will china invade australia

Military Invasion alert after China crosses line. The World Economy. War is inevitable. The US, their nemesis in the Great Game, is diminished. China to INVADE Australia? Returning to the initial centrepiece of Lambies argument and notion of whether Australia is in danger of being invaded in the traditional sense of the term. Darwin is narrow-minded, provincial, over-priced, and un-competitive! When Australia had the temerity to call for an independent inquiry into the origins of COVID-19 last year, China was incensed. Reduction of our options, in order to protect a Foreign Interest and our consideration of the other options open to us, is most likely. But you cant do that, youre just a whining shitbag like the entire PUP. There ya go. In the context of the Chinese hypothetical invasion threat, two problem factors can be identified: the fighting force and the question of endurance. In the context of this analysis an attack includes an actual attempt to deploy adversarial offensive military power on Australias shores. Trillions of dollars would be dumped on the global market in a very short time, which would lower the dollars foreign exchange value in a disruptive rather than advantageous way, raise domestic US interest rates and make it vastly harder for them to bully the rest of the world economically or militarily. The progress became an ever-upward spiral in which the dictums of modern nation-statehood that is, economic growth equalling stable investment environments for Western enterprises were ones that offered ongoing prosperity; and the middle-class continuum. For Australia the decisions that will have to be made, in order to totally avoid an outbreak of war one in which Australia for all intent and purposes will inevitably lose and one that would encourage a ground invasion by Chinese forces is where to place China as these regional machinations increase? The truth of the matter resides in the history of the US as per WWII being a European war until the bombing of Pearl Harbor forced the US to face the realities of the conflict, and the undeniable reality is that an Australia-China military collision would not necessarily be an urgent priority for the US. But the US has strategic energy interests in Australia so perhaps they will not abandon us or sell us out with their own self interests are at stake. As for Jacqui Lambie how could anyone believe her statements or take them too seriously shes a very loose cannon, and I wouldnt be surprised if the PUP somehow bids her goodbye in the not too distant future. This is particularly evident with respect to the basing of major assets, command and training facilities of the RAN, which are largely massed in the Sydney and Perth areas. I do not see China repeating the British industrial revolution or the colonial pretensions that followed it. Over time China is seeking to take its rightful place in a globalized world. http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/jacqui-lambie-refuses-to-apologise-for-warning-of-chinese-invasion/story-fn59niix-1227038207396. Sun 27 Feb 2022 00.26 EST First published on Sat 26 Feb 2022 19.57 EST The prime minister, Scott Morrison, has announced that Australia will provide funds for "lethal aid" to Ukraine's war. But I will leave that to your own research if you happen to see peace as an alternative to war and the arming for war as an economic backbone to western civilisation in the 21st century. The End of History and the Last Man. The question of fuel deposits, which has to be replenished regularly, remains. As part of national preparedness response options at strategic, operational and tactical levels need to be considered. It is unlikely that the PLA will risk using its ageing strategic bomber force as a long-range offensive asset against Australia. Tensions between Australia and its biggest trading partner, China, drastically deteriorated last year when Prime Minister Scott Morrison called for an independent inquiry into the origins of. Australians must face the fact that China is determined to invade Taiwan and in a China-dominated region we won't enjoy the freedoms we assume are our birthright. Chinas parallel with Germany before WWI. The Sydney Morning Herald, Sydney: Fairfax Media, 20 August, 2014. http://www.smh.com.au/comment/chinas-parallel-with-germany-before-wwi-20140820-10631j.html. Australia also has rare earths and God knows what PNG has still yet? Daily Star Online has contacted United Australia Party for comment. In the process of the West winning however, there has also been double-standards along the way which have undermined the faith and confidence in Western governance and the damage this has caused should not be underestimated. [14] David Tweed and Sangwon Yoon. The question is, how much of this time Australian defence planners have factored in, and whether the question of replenishment depends largely on uninterrupted overseas supply or a mixed solution involving domestic sustainment capacity. This factor, in the first instance is where there are ongoing and developing difficulties. It can also enhance themoral readiness and the determination of troops to fight and win under any circumstances, including unfavourable battle conditions (for example, in the absence of air superiority or sustained logistics). Signed sealed and yet to deliver. China's murky role in the genesis and spread of the novel coronavirus has disturbed the entire world. As the middle-classes of China begin to demand their perceived and/or actual rights, the PRC government will have to succumb to their demands, if only for enhanced domestic stability. Nations that acceded to British demands, either as a protectorate that was accorded all of the security and safety Britain could muster or, alternately, Britain used force. Or by navigating to the user icon in the top right. You can donate through PayPal or credit card via the button below, or donate via bank transfer: Your email address will not be published. On 23 April this year, Chinese President Xi Jinping showed off the PLA Navy's production capacity by commissioning at a single ceremony the Hainan amphibious assault ship, the Changzheng-18 nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine, and the Dalian destroyer. Subscribe to ADM Premium. The short-tempered outburst by Senator Palmer on the Australian Broadcasting Corporation Q&A program, to be sure was just that, an outburst. Now, try to find out where all our Gold and other more precious commodities have been going and then why our Conservative US backed Governments have sold out our Reserves? Everyone is doing it hard at present. Required fields are marked *, Attachment The maximum upload file size: 2 MB. How are we going to survive if we deliberately ignore threats for fear of offending someone? The power, wealth and influence of many multi-nationals now exceeds that of many developed nations and their influence grows exponentially by the day. As the decade toward 2025 grinds on the massive influence China will have will cause the displacement of Australias and as such, the Chinese will not automatically accept Australias definitions of how the A-P should be controlled: this will cause problems. In short, Senator Lambies outburst is largely accurate, premature perhaps, but based on British and American preponderance, accurate nevertheless. Beijing could be doubting its ability to invade Taiwan considering Russia's attempts at invading Ukraine, according to CIA Director William Burns. Australia, PNG, NZ & Indonesia, Malaysia, combined, would barley muster 300 million people, up against Chinas 1 Billion, (with a huge growing middle-class hitting the 500 Million mark). When it comes to assessing a countrys fighting potential on a comparative basis, a number of major contributing factors needs to be taken into account. Secondly, China deploys a long-range strike capability (conventional and unconventional), which allows it to target Australia. Given the absence of layered air defence capability (AD) in the ADFs order of battle, including long-range AD systems, in theory it can wage long-range missile strikes against our key land targets (defence installations, strategic surveillance communication facilities, possibly large population centres), even though it may risk escalation to an open confrontation with the United States. I wonder why the Chinese are bulding the bases in the south china sea now. Australia has been warned to expect a Chinese "strategic surprise" in 2022. This is the real war. The coming state-of-affairs for Australia will be one surviving the numerous upcoming protracted and friction-filled escalations and the ever-greater political and military demands China will inevitably make. Jacqui Lambie!! 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The two-minute-long advert suggests that the Chinese government has been working with Australian politicians in buying businesses on the countrys shores. [10] Angus Madisson. The shock of this state-of-affairs resides in Western nation-states and Western European-centric nations Australia and America, and to some extent Japan are included is included in this mix have been privy to, over the past several centuries is watching the slow but sure rise of Western Europe as a force. As Europe became a force it has incrementally been able to dictate its version of what government and governance should comprise of to the rest of the world. Returning to Senator Lambie, and her comment about the Chinese invasion of Australia,[1] it can be safely assumed that what Lambie is actually referring to is contained in a broad military context: an air- and sea-borne attack culminating in a boots-on-the-ground, physical armed presence not dissimilar to the one taking in place in Ukraine by Russian forces in recent times; the Argentinian invasion of the Falkland Islands/Islas Malvinas in the early 1980s; and the United States invasion of Iraq in 2003. Adding to that, some of these hubs house core elements of critical infrastructure, including major defence installations (among them bases and headquarters). This time has taken two decades and it is now in that place, or in simpler terms, China is now a major actor on the world stage and moreover, one that is prepared to back its position/s up with military force if need be. We use your sign-up to provide content in the ways you've consented to and improve our understanding of you. [13] James Lee Ray and Ayse Vural. [9] Ezra Vogel. With all of the above-mentioned commentary, and in particular because Monk has drawn into the mix an historical pivot, there is a need to examine these issues further to highlight where the fear comes from, and where it has its roots. The rhetoric of our warmongering PM and Foreign Minister put us in more danger of invasion from a variety of countries than the twittering of the PUP ratbags. Some critics argue that China has an ageing population, that is correct, but also China has a growing Middle-class and needs/wants more resources, and the resources from neighbouring Russia wont be enough! The present Lambie redneck doctrine of Invasion by China or Indonesia harks back to Menzies and his yellow peril election Arrows and like the Menzies arrows Lambies redneck doctrine is just a ploy to stay elected. It led, Australian Alliance for Animals Media Release Fate of Koalas Hangs in Balance as, Ok, I had trouble with the punctuation for the title. Acknowledging the obvious generalizations that are present in the political deliberations and in the comments of Senator Lambie, there is a need to examine what is pushing the underlying tone of the debate, and then driving the discussion. The way in which this has happened includes both military and political realms: the forcing of democracy on Japan at the end of World War Two (WWII) by the US and Allied powers; winning the Korean War by United Nations forces; and the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1989. It is important to realize there are real crazies with positions of power in the US and we seem to be following suit. [7] See Francis Fukuyama. Note: Dr Alexey Muraviev isAssociate Professor of National Security and Strategic Studies at Curtin University. Have a friend who was Ambassador to China and it would not take much to regain their respect. I find this piece troubling. What the hell have we done? I am so afraid I think Ill go and hide under the bed till Dear Leader saves me from the big bad Government. Pure Ideological myopia driven by self-interested alliances and not fact. New York: Monthly Review Press, 2002, 217. However, the relevant issue is invasions gain results which inevitably have to be repelled, defused or accepted. It is safe to assume that in the event of a large-scale invasion of mainland Australia, the ADFs response capacity would be overstretched beyond any reasonable expectation of waging effective defensive operations. CMMC, I fully agree with your summation,perfect.Could not have put it clearer myself. Malcolm Davis, a senior analyst at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI), said that in the case of war breaking out between China and Taiwan, Australia would be pulled into the conflict by the US. Enter your email address to subscribe to The AIMN and receive notifications of new posts by email. Domestic harmony is also part of the PRCs aim. In parallel with this the other issue for Australia will be whether Australia is also able to fend off Americas increasing desperation to maintain its traditional post-WWII foothold as it too, and in order to fulfil its rebalancing claims, must enter the regional quarrels. This is the stupidity of permitting foreign governments to purchase our farming land and mineral assets. Ill give a dollar to anyone who actually read all that. Here is an article by Chomsky that should open a few eyes. Fairfax Media: Melbourne, 11 August, 2011, 13. How did it satisfy the demands of its ever-growing middle-classes? It is pertinent to ask what will drive such an outcome. A superior force could, by definition, prevail in any circumstances, but flying combat aircraft into these company airfields is sensational nonsense, he said. 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